| Demographic Transition in Morocco: an application of Easterlin-Crimmins’s model using DHS data |
| Authors: |
Lucia Ferrone |
| Source: |
African Population Studies, 28(2 Supplement): 927-932; DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.11564/28-0-546 |
| Topic(s): |
Contraception
Fertility
|
| Country: |
Africa
Morocco
|
| Published: |
JUL 2014 |
| Abstract: |
The aim of this study is to shed some light on the dynamics of fertility reduction in the MENA region,
analyzing both proximate and latent fertility determinants: DHS data for Morocco from the 2004 round were
hence used for this purpose. The main idea behind this application is that the key variable in fertility
transition is contraception prevalence and use. The Easterlin-Crimmins method (1985) is a two-stage model
of supply and demand. There are two endogenous variables: number of born children (B), and contraception
use (U), while the exogenous ones are the costs of regulation, the demand for children, and the proximate
determinants of fertility. Results show that contraception is, in fact, the key factor and determinant in fertility
transition: ensuring access to contraception is therefore fundamental in reaching the final stage of the
transition. |
| Web: |
http://aps.journals.ac.za/pub/article/view/546/448 |
|